Voter turnout in Germany is declining. From a democratic perspective, this is particularly problematic because it is falling more sharply among unemployed and low-income voters than among socioeconomically better-off voters. As a result, the interests of certain sections of the population are less well represented in elected bodies and their decisions.
Our re-analysis of previously unpublished data from the Finnish Basic Income Experiment provides impressive evidence of the leverage that the design of the social system can exert against democratic regression.
The Most Important Findings at a Glance
One possible lever is social policy. Previously unpublished data from the Finnish basic income experiment show how social security can influence voter turnout: when unemployed people received an autonomous and incentive-rich transfer payment instead of the regular, sanctionable unemployment benefit, the willingness of volatile (non-)voters to go to the polls increased by more than 7 percentage points.
One reason for this is that recipients of the modified transfer payment also experienced an increase in trust and a sense of political efficacy, two important motivational prerequisites for going to the polls.
The political implications: in view of current crises and challenges, social policies must also be designed from a democratic perspective. For our current basic income support, this means that the possibility of eliminating sanctions and a favourable transfer withdrawal rate should be examined.